Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-04 0.084064 0.097128 0.111548 0.128648 0.148374 0.170423 0.196946
2026-01-11 0.064074 0.081772 0.103306 0.131444 0.167266 0.211383 0.269919
2026-01-18 0.052598 0.071967 0.097198 0.132488 0.180625 0.244082 0.334272
2026-01-25 0.043922 0.063602 0.090703 0.130770 0.188584 0.269140 0.390238
2026-02-01 0.036763 0.055911 0.083578 0.126490 0.191501 0.286534 0.436506
2026-02-08 0.032785 0.052098 0.081228 0.128394 0.203030 0.316921 0.504645
2026-02-15 0.029245 0.048371 0.078373 0.128893 0.212081 0.344094 0.570510
2026-02-22 0.026551 0.045574 0.076514 0.130540 0.222839 0.374718 0.644975
2026-03-01 0.023488 0.041736 0.072439 0.127902 0.225972 0.392911 0.700369
2026-03-08 0.020983 0.038523 0.068990 0.125817 0.229612 0.412037 0.759104
2026-03-15 0.019334 0.036612 0.067547 0.127028 0.239072 0.442063 0.840359
2026-03-22 0.018523 0.036128 0.068576 0.132803 0.257400 0.489773 0.959361
2026-03-29 0.017422 0.035000 0.068345 0.136289 0.272028 0.532613 1.074953
2026-04-05 0.016351 0.033807 0.067864 0.139245 0.285990 0.575758 1.196383
2026-04-12 0.015190 0.032285 0.066553 0.140351 0.296297 0.612690 1.309302
2026-04-19 0.013860 0.030252 0.063978 0.138530 0.300304 0.637201 1.398950
2026-04-26 0.012426 0.027830 0.060326 0.133996 0.298002 0.648266 1.460848
2026-05-03 0.011717 0.026904 0.059735 0.136013 0.310101 0.691116 1.597392
2026-05-10 0.010951 0.025761 0.058543 0.136542 0.318902 0.727618 1.723622
2026-05-17 0.010347 0.024919 0.057923 0.138287 0.330632 0.771789 1.872464
2026-05-24 0.009477 0.023350 0.055480 0.135492 0.331405 0.790932 1.963977
2026-05-31 0.008729 0.021991 0.053382 0.133283 0.333318 0.812886 2.064729
2026-06-07 0.008264 0.021278 0.052742 0.134566 0.343916 0.856667 2.224697